Riding profile

Acadie--Annapolis

Federal riding — NS · Rural · atlantic

The question

Acadie--Annapolis: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Acadie--Annapolis, a rural riding in Nova Scotia, elected a member with the Conservative Party in the previous cycle, with a 1-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 45% vote share, against 42% for the Conservative Party, and the race could swing. Linguistic profile: 9% francophone, 91% anglophone.

Sitting member

Chris d'Entremont

Sits with Liberal

Elected as Conservative · floor_crossingon2025-11-25

Since
2025-04-28
Parliament
45th

Current forecast

Liberal

Toss-up

Probability
88%
Mean margin (pts)
3.3
P(close race)
78%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Liberal 45.0%
  • Conservative 42.0%
  • NDP 4.2%
  • Green 1.6%
  • PPC 0.9%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Liberal Conservative NDP Green
HereAcadie--Annapolis 45.0%42.0%4.2%1.6%
Provincial averageNova Scotia 55.2% −10.2 29.9% +12.1 6.2% −2.0 1.3% +0.3
National averageCanada 41.9% +3.1 34.8% +7.2 14.2% −10.0 2.1% −0.5

Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · FED 2025

Won by
Conservative
Margin
1.1 pts
Turnout
72.1%
Margin shift vs current projection
+2.2 pts

Detailed result · FED 2025

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Chris d'Entremont Elected Conservative 23,024 47.7 Parliamentarian
Ronnie LeBlanc Liberal 22,491 46.6 Provincial & Municipal Politician
Ingrid Deon NDP 1,768 3.7 Chief Executive Officer
Matthew Piggott Green 583 1.2 Self-Employed
James Strange PPC 432 0.9 Director of Finance

Demographics

Who lives here

Linguistic profile

  • Francophone 8.6%
  • Anglophone 90.5%
  • Non-francophone (other) 0.9%

Data source : Statistics Canada — 2021 Census

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
fed_46