Riding profile

Beauharnois--Salaberry--Soulanges--Huntingdon

Federal riding — QC · Mixed · fed qc

The question

Beauharnois--Salaberry--Soulanges--Huntingdon: a safe seat for the Bloc Québécois?

Editorial read

Beauharnois--Salaberry--Soulanges--Huntingdon, a mixed riding in Quebec, elected a member with the Bloc Québécois in the previous cycle, with a 12-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Bloc Québécois ahead at 43% vote share, against 30% for the Liberal Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible. Linguistic profile: 89% francophone, 10% anglophone.

Sitting member

Claude DeBellefeuille

Sits with Bloc

Since
2025-04-28
Parliament
45th

Current forecast

Bloc

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
13.5
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Bloc 43.3%
  • Liberal 29.8%
  • Conservative 23.7%
  • NDP 6.8%
  • Green 1.7%
  • PPC 1.1%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Bloc Liberal Conservative NDP
HereBeauharnois--Salaberry--Soulanges--Huntingdon 43.3%29.8%23.7%6.8%
Provincial averageQuebec 27.3% +16.0 40.7% −11.0 26.9% −3.2 7.0% −0.2
National averageCanada 6.1% +37.2 41.9% −12.1 34.8% −11.1 14.2% −7.4

Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · FED 2025

Won by
Bloc
Margin
11.6 pts
Turnout
67.0%
Margin shift vs current projection
+1.9 pts

Detailed result · FED 2025

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Claude Debellefeuille Elected Bloc 30,005 43.9 Social Worker
Miguel Perras Liberal 21,939 32.1 Student
Priska St-Pierre Conservative 13,230 19.4 National Trainer - PSP
Tyler Jones NDP 1,663 2.4 Courier Driver
Kristian Solarik Green 802 1.2 Sales Representative
Martin Lévesque PPC 675 1.0 Refrigeration Mechanic

Demographics

Who lives here

Linguistic profile

  • Francophone 89.4%
  • Anglophone 9.5%
  • Non-francophone (other) 1.1%

Data source : Statistics Canada — 2021 Census

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
fed_46