Riding profile
Beauharnois--Salaberry--Soulanges--Huntingdon
The question
Beauharnois--Salaberry--Soulanges--Huntingdon: a safe seat for the Bloc Québécois?
Current forecast
Bloc
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 9.0
- P(close race)
- 7%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Bloc | Liberal | Conservative | NDP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereBeauharnois--Salaberry--Soulanges--Huntingdon | 43.3% | 34.2% | 21.8% | 4.8% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 27.3% +16.0 | 45.4% −11.2 | 24.8% −3.0 | 5.1% −0.2 |
| National averageCanada | 5.7% +37.6 | 48.0% −13.8 | 32.1% −10.3 | 10.6% −5.8 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Beauharnois--Salaberry--Soulanges--Huntingdon, a mixed riding in Quebec, elected a member with the Bloc Québécois in the previous cycle, with a 12-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Bloc Québécois ahead at 43% vote share, against 34% for the Liberal Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible. Linguistic profile: 89% francophone, 10% anglophone.
Sitting member
Claude DeBellefeuille
Sits with Bloc
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Debellefeuille Elected | Bloc | 30,005 | 43.9 | Social Worker |
| Miguel Perras | Liberal | 21,939 | 32.1 | Student |
| Priska St-Pierre | Conservative | 13,230 | 19.4 | National Trainer - PSP |
| Tyler Jones | NDP | 1,663 | 2.4 | Courier Driver |
| Kristian Solarik | Green | 802 | 1.2 | Sales Representative |
| Martin Lévesque | PPC | 675 | 1.0 | Refrigeration Mechanic |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Francophone 89.4%
- Anglophone 9.5%
- Non-francophone (other) 1.1%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46