Riding profile

Pierrefonds--Dollard

Federal riding — QC · Suburban · fed qc

The question

Pierrefonds--Dollard: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?

Editorial read

Pierrefonds--Dollard, a suburban riding in Quebec, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 29-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 58% vote share, against 35% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible. Linguistic profile: 26% francophone, 50% anglophone.

Sitting member

Sameer Zuberi

Sits with Liberal

Since
2025-04-28
Parliament
45th

Current forecast

Liberal

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
22.3
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Liberal 57.6%
  • Conservative 35.4%
  • Bloc 5.4%
  • NDP 5.1%
  • PPC 0.7%
  • Green 0.6%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Liberal Conservative Bloc NDP
HerePierrefonds--Dollard 57.6%35.4%5.4%5.1%
Provincial averageQuebec 40.7% +16.9 26.9% +8.4 27.3% −21.9 7.0% −1.9
National averageCanada 41.9% +15.7 34.8% +0.6 6.1% −0.7 14.2% −9.1

Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · FED 2025

Won by
Liberal
Margin
29.2 pts
Turnout
69.3%
Margin shift vs current projection
-7.0 pts

Detailed result · FED 2025

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Sameer Zuberi Elected Liberal 34,326 60.1 Parliamentarian
Tanya Toledano Conservative 17,453 30.5 Entrepreneur
Katrina Archambault Bloc 3,097 5.4 Student
Kakou Richard Kouassi NDP 1,613 2.8 Lawyer
Gordon Nash PPC 333 0.6 Marketing Consultant
Shahid Khan Independent 266 0.5 Real Estate Broker
Eyad Mobayed Independent 48 0.1 Web Specialist

Demographics

Who lives here

Linguistic profile

  • Francophone 25.8%
  • Anglophone 50.0%
  • Non-francophone (other) 24.2%

Data source : Statistics Canada — 2021 Census

Last model run
Cycle
fed_46