Riding profile
Saint-Laurent
The question
Saint-Laurent: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?
Current forecast
Liberal
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 29.6
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | Conservative | Bloc | NDP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereSaint-Laurent | 60.6% | 31.1% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 45.4% +15.2 | 24.8% +6.3 | 27.3% −21.6 | 5.1% −1.5 |
| National averageCanada | 48.0% +12.6 | 32.1% −1.0 | 5.7% | 10.6% −7.0 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Saint-Laurent, a mixed riding in Quebec, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 30-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 61% vote share, against 31% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible. Linguistic profile: 35% francophone, 27% anglophone.
Sitting member
Emmanuella Lambropoulos
Sits with Liberal
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuella Lambropoulos Elected | Liberal | 26,021 | 58.9 | Parliamentarian |
| Richard Serour | Conservative | 12,477 | 28.2 | Immigration Consultant |
| Marielle Gendron | Bloc | 2,523 | 5.7 | Teacher |
| Ryan Byrne | NDP | 1,985 | 4.5 | Communications Coordinator |
| Richard Chambers | Green | 693 | 1.6 | Retired |
| Manon Chevalier | PPC | 349 | 0.8 | Engineer |
| Fernand Deschamps | Other | 137 | 0.3 | Teacher |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Francophone 35.1%
- Anglophone 27.0%
- Non-francophone (other) 37.9%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46