Riding profile
Outremont
The question
Outremont: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?
Current forecast
Liberal
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 41.4
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | Conservative | Bloc | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereOutremont | 57.1% | 15.6% | 11.8% | 10.2% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 45.4% +11.7 | 24.8% −9.2 | 27.3% −15.5 | 1.6% +8.6 |
| National averageCanada | 48.0% +9.1 | 32.1% −16.5 | 5.7% +6.1 | 2.7% +7.5 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Outremont, a suburban riding in Quebec, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 42-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 57% vote share, against 16% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible. Linguistic profile: 55% francophone, 25% anglophone.
Sitting member
Rachel Bendayan
Sits with Liberal
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bendayan Elected | Liberal | 26,024 | 55.2 | Parliamentarian |
| Ronan Reich | Conservative | 5,911 | 12.5 | Unemployed |
| Rémi Lebeuf | Bloc | 5,644 | 12.0 | Parliamentary Assistant |
| Ève Péclet | NDP | 5,024 | 10.7 | Lawyer |
| Jonathan Pedneault | Green | 4,539 | 9.6 | Co-Party Leader |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Francophone 54.9%
- Anglophone 24.7%
- Non-francophone (other) 20.4%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46