Riding profile
Rosemont--La Petite-Patrie
The question
Rosemont--La Petite-Patrie: will Independent lose this seat to NDP?
Editorial read
Rosemont--La Petite-Patrie, a mixed riding in Quebec, elected a member with the NDP in the previous cycle, with a 9-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the NDP ahead at 45% vote share, against 29% for the Liberal Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible. Linguistic profile: 84% francophone, 8% anglophone.
Sitting member
Alexandre Boulerice
Sits with Independent
Elected as NDP · party_changeon2026-04-27
Current forecast
NDP
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 15.6
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| NDP | Liberal | Bloc | Conservative | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereRosemont--La Petite-Patrie | 44.9% | 29.3% | 18.0% | 11.9% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 7.0% +37.9 | 40.7% −11.4 | 27.3% −9.2 | 26.9% −15.0 |
| National averageCanada | 14.2% +30.7 | 41.9% −12.6 | 6.1% +11.9 | 34.8% −22.9 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · FED 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandre Boulerice Elected | NDP | 24,358 | 41.0 | Parliamentarian |
| Jean-Sébastien Vallée | Liberal | 18,757 | 31.6 | Director of Education and Communications |
| Olivier Gignac | Bloc | 10,864 | 18.3 | Management Consultant |
| Laetitia Tchatat | Conservative | 4,073 | 6.9 | Public Relations Consultant |
| Benoît Morham | Green | 1,368 | 2.3 | Science Teacher |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Francophone 83.7%
- Anglophone 7.9%
- Non-francophone (other) 8.4%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46