Riding profile
Mount Royal
The question
Mount Royal: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?
Current forecast
Liberal
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 9.8
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | Bloc | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereMount Royal | 52.9% | 43.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 45.4% +7.6 | 24.8% +18.3 | 5.1% −1.4 | 27.3% −23.9 |
| National averageCanada | 48.0% +4.9 | 32.1% +11.0 | 10.6% −7.0 | 5.7% −2.3 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Mount Royal, a mixed riding in Quebec, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 10-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 53% vote share, against 43% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible. Linguistic profile: 26% francophone, 47% anglophone.
Sitting member
Anthony Housefather
Sits with Liberal
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Housefather Elected | Liberal | 25,544 | 51.1 | Parliamentarian |
| Neil Oberman | Conservative | 20,244 | 40.5 | Lawyer |
| Adam Frank | NDP | 2,353 | 4.7 | Professor |
| Yegor Komarov | Bloc | 1,671 | 3.3 | Parliamentary Assistant |
| Diane Johnston | Other | 216 | 0.4 | Journalist |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Francophone 25.8%
- Anglophone 46.5%
- Non-francophone (other) 27.7%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46