Riding profile
Vimy
The question
Vimy: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?
Current forecast
Liberal
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 27.4
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | Conservative | Bloc | NDP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereVimy | 54.8% | 27.4% | 16.8% | 3.6% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 45.4% +9.4 | 24.8% +2.6 | 27.3% −10.5 | 5.1% −1.5 |
| National averageCanada | 48.0% +6.8 | 32.1% −4.7 | 5.7% +11.1 | 10.6% −7.0 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Vimy, a rural riding in Quebec, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 28-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 55% vote share, against 27% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible. Linguistic profile: 61% francophone, 13% anglophone.
Sitting member
Annie Koutrakis
Sits with Liberal
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Koutrakis Elected | Liberal | 26,531 | 53.4 | Parliamentarian |
| Grace Daou | Conservative | 12,278 | 24.7 | Biochemist |
| Alicia Parenteau-Malakhanian | Bloc | 8,526 | 17.2 | Aesthetician |
| Cindy Mercer | NDP | 2,342 | 4.7 | Dental Hygienist |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Francophone 61.3%
- Anglophone 13.0%
- Non-francophone (other) 25.7%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46