Riding profile

Vimy

Federal riding — QC · Rural · fed qc

The question

Vimy: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?

Editorial read

Vimy, a rural riding in Quebec, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 28-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 50% vote share, against 29% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible. Linguistic profile: 61% francophone, 13% anglophone.

Sitting member

Annie Koutrakis

Sits with Liberal

Since
2025-04-28
Parliament
45th

Current forecast

Liberal

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
21.1
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Liberal 50.3%
  • Conservative 29.2%
  • Bloc 16.8%
  • NDP 5.5%
  • Green 0.6%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Liberal Conservative Bloc NDP
HereVimy 50.3%29.2%16.8%5.5%
Provincial averageQuebec 40.7% +9.6 26.9% +2.3 27.3% −10.5 7.0% −1.4
National averageCanada 41.9% +8.4 34.8% −5.6 6.1% +10.7 14.2% −8.6

Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · FED 2025

Won by
Liberal
Margin
28.0 pts
Turnout
60.2%
Margin shift vs current projection
-7.0 pts

Detailed result · FED 2025

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Annie Koutrakis Elected Liberal 26,531 53.4 Parliamentarian
Grace Daou Conservative 12,278 24.7 Biochemist
Alicia Parenteau-Malakhanian Bloc 8,526 17.2 Aesthetician
Cindy Mercer NDP 2,342 4.7 Dental Hygienist

Demographics

Who lives here

Linguistic profile

  • Francophone 61.3%
  • Anglophone 13.0%
  • Non-francophone (other) 25.7%

Data source : Statistics Canada — 2021 Census

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
fed_46