Riding profile

Beauport--Limoilou

Federal riding — QC · Mixed · fed qc

The question

Beauport--Limoilou: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Beauport--Limoilou, a mixed riding in Quebec, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 5-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservative Party ahead at 33% vote share, against 33% for the Liberal Party, and the race could swing. Linguistic profile: 96% francophone, 1% anglophone.

Sitting member

Steeve Lavoie

Sits with Liberal

Since
2025-04-28
Parliament
45th

Current forecast

Conservative

Toss-up

Probability
51%
Mean margin (pts)
1.3
P(close race)
100%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Conservative 33.3%
  • Liberal 33.2%
  • Bloc 28.6%
  • NDP 5.2%
  • Green 2.0%
  • PPC 0.8%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Conservative Liberal Bloc NDP
HereBeauport--Limoilou 33.3%33.2%28.6%5.2%
Provincial averageQuebec 26.9% +6.4 40.7% −7.5 27.3% +1.3 7.0% −1.8
National averageCanada 34.8% −1.5 41.9% −8.7 6.1% +22.5 14.2% −9.0

Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · FED 2025

Won by
Liberal
Margin
5.4 pts
Turnout
68.9%
Margin shift vs current projection
-4.1 pts

Detailed result · FED 2025

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Steeve Lavoie Elected Liberal 21,858 35.6 Manager
Hugo Langlois Conservative 18,492 30.1 Host
Julie Vignola Bloc 17,558 28.6 Teacher
Raymond Côté NDP 2,095 3.4 Customer Support Agent
Dalila Elhak Green 924 1.5 Public Servant
Andrée Massicotte PPC 396 0.6 Purchaser
Claude Moreau Other 95 0.2 Stationary Engine Mechanic

Demographics

Who lives here

Linguistic profile

  • Francophone 96.2%
  • Anglophone 0.9%
  • Non-francophone (other) 2.9%

Data source : Statistics Canada — 2021 Census

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
fed_46