Riding profile
Louis-Saint-Laurent--Akiawenhrahk
The question
Louis-Saint-Laurent--Akiawenhrahk: a safe seat for the Conservative Party?
Current forecast
Conservative
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 10.9
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Conservative | Liberal | Bloc | NDP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereLouis-Saint-Laurent--Akiawenhrahk | 46.0% | 35.1% | 19.1% | 3.0% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 24.8% +21.2 | 45.4% −10.3 | 27.3% −8.2 | 5.1% −2.0 |
| National averageCanada | 32.1% +13.9 | 48.0% −12.9 | 5.7% +13.4 | 10.6% −7.5 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Louis-Saint-Laurent--Akiawenhrahk, a mixed riding in Quebec, elected a member with the Conservative Party in the previous cycle, with a 12-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservative Party ahead at 46% vote share, against 35% for the Liberal Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible. Linguistic profile: 97% francophone, 1% anglophone.
Sitting member
Gérard Deltell
Sits with Conservative
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gérard Deltell Elected | Conservative | 29,525 | 44.9 | Parliamentarian |
| Rhode-Malaure Pierre | Liberal | 21,693 | 33.0 | Univeristy Student |
| Martin Trudel | Bloc | 12,465 | 18.9 | Union Vice President |
| Colette Ducharme | NDP | 1,607 | 2.4 | Retired |
| Anthony Leclerc | PPC | 527 | 0.8 | Labour Inspector |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Francophone 97.0%
- Anglophone 1.1%
- Non-francophone (other) 1.9%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46