Riding profile

Bécancour--Nicolet--Saurel--Alnôbak

Federal riding — QC · Mixed · fed qc

The question

Bécancour--Nicolet--Saurel--Alnôbak: a safe seat for the Bloc Québécois?

Editorial read

Bécancour--Nicolet--Saurel--Alnôbak, a mixed riding in Quebec, elected a member with the Bloc Québécois in the previous cycle, with a 19-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Bloc Québécois ahead at 47% vote share, against 25% for the Liberal Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible. Linguistic profile: 99% francophone, 1% anglophone.

Sitting member

Louis Plamondon

Sits with Bloc

Since
2025-04-28
Parliament
45th

Current forecast

Bloc

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
21.0
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Bloc 46.5%
  • Liberal 24.9%
  • Conservative 24.8%
  • NDP 6.4%
  • Green 1.9%
  • PPC 0.9%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Bloc Liberal Conservative NDP
HereBécancour--Nicolet--Saurel--Alnôbak 46.5%24.9%24.8%6.4%
Provincial averageQuebec 27.3% +19.3 40.7% −15.8 26.9% −2.1 7.0% −0.6
National averageCanada 6.1% +40.4 41.9% −17.0 34.8% −10.0 14.2% −7.8

Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · FED 2025

Won by
Bloc
Margin
19.3 pts
Turnout
67.2%
Margin shift vs current projection
+1.7 pts

Detailed result · FED 2025

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Louis Plamondon Elected Bloc 25,506 47.0 Parliamentarian
Pierre Tousignant Liberal 14,813 27.3 Emergency Measures Consultant
Michel Plourde Conservative 11,717 21.6 Certified Engineering Technologist
Tommy Gagnon NDP 1,112 2.0 Automotive Chief Financial Officer
Yanick Lapierre Green 738 1.4 General Manager
Lara Stillo PPC 432 0.8 Residential Real Estate Broker

Demographics

Who lives here

Linguistic profile

  • Francophone 98.7%
  • Anglophone 0.7%
  • Non-francophone (other) 0.6%

Data source : Statistics Canada — 2021 Census

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
fed_46