Riding profile
Bécancour--Nicolet--Saurel--Alnôbak
The question
Bécancour--Nicolet--Saurel--Alnôbak: a safe seat for the Bloc Québécois?
Current forecast
Bloc
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 17.1
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Bloc | Liberal | Conservative | NDP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereBécancour--Nicolet--Saurel--Alnôbak | 46.5% | 29.4% | 22.9% | 4.5% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 27.3% +19.2 | 45.4% −16.0 | 24.8% −1.9 | 5.1% −0.6 |
| National averageCanada | 5.7% +40.8 | 48.0% −18.6 | 32.1% −9.2 | 10.6% −6.1 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Bécancour--Nicolet--Saurel--Alnôbak, a mixed riding in Quebec, elected a member with the Bloc Québécois in the previous cycle, with a 19-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Bloc Québécois ahead at 47% vote share, against 29% for the Liberal Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible. Linguistic profile: 99% francophone, 1% anglophone.
Sitting member
Louis Plamondon
Sits with Bloc
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louis Plamondon Elected | Bloc | 25,506 | 47.0 | Parliamentarian |
| Pierre Tousignant | Liberal | 14,813 | 27.3 | Emergency Measures Consultant |
| Michel Plourde | Conservative | 11,717 | 21.6 | Certified Engineering Technologist |
| Tommy Gagnon | NDP | 1,112 | 2.0 | Automotive Chief Financial Officer |
| Yanick Lapierre | Green | 738 | 1.4 | General Manager |
| Lara Stillo | PPC | 432 | 0.8 | Residential Real Estate Broker |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Francophone 98.7%
- Anglophone 0.7%
- Non-francophone (other) 0.6%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46