Riding profile
Pierre-Boucher--Les Patriotes--Verchères
The question
Pierre-Boucher--Les Patriotes--Verchères: who wins this toss-up?
Current forecast
Bloc
Toss-up
- Probability
- 97%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 5.1
- P(close race)
- 50%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Bloc | Liberal | Conservative | NDP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HerePierre-Boucher--Les Patriotes--Verchères | 45.9% | 40.9% | 13.4% | 4.9% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 27.3% +18.6 | 45.4% −4.5 | 24.8% −11.4 | 5.1% −0.2 |
| National averageCanada | 5.7% +40.2 | 48.0% −7.1 | 32.1% −18.7 | 10.6% −5.7 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Pierre-Boucher--Les Patriotes--Verchères, a suburban riding in Quebec, elected a member with the Bloc Québécois in the previous cycle, with a 7-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Bloc Québécois ahead at 46% vote share, against 41% for the Liberal Party, and the race could swing. Linguistic profile: 96% francophone, 2% anglophone.
Sitting member
Xavier Barsalou-Duval
Sits with Bloc
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Barsalou-Duval Elected | Bloc | 28,765 | 46.1 | Parliamentarian |
| Laurent de Casanove | Liberal | 24,217 | 38.8 | Press Attaché |
| Vincent Kunda | Conservative | 7,375 | 11.8 | Student |
| Jean-François Filion | NDP | 1,541 | 2.5 | Teacher |
| Alexandre Blais | PPC | 528 | 0.8 | Carpenter |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Francophone 95.8%
- Anglophone 2.0%
- Non-francophone (other) 2.2%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46