Riding profile
La Pointe-de-l'Île
The question
La Pointe-de-l'Île: a safe seat for the Bloc Québécois?
Editorial read
La Pointe-de-l'Île, a mixed riding in Quebec, elected a member with the Bloc Québécois in the previous cycle, with a 5-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Bloc Québécois ahead at 42% vote share, against 35% for the Liberal Party, and the riding remains competitive. Linguistic profile: 87% francophone, 4% anglophone.
Sitting member
Mario Beaulieu
Sits with Bloc
Current forecast
Bloc
Competitive
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 7.2
- P(close race)
- 21%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Bloc | Liberal | Conservative | NDP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereLa Pointe-de-l'Île | 42.3% | 35.1% | 17.2% | 8.6% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 27.3% +15.1 | 40.7% −5.6 | 26.9% −9.7 | 7.0% +1.6 |
| National averageCanada | 6.1% +36.2 | 41.9% −6.8 | 34.8% −17.6 | 14.2% −5.6 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · FED 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mario Beaulieu Elected | Bloc | 22,940 | 43.1 | Educator |
| Viviane Minko | Liberal | 20,051 | 37.7 | Human Resources Administrative Assistant |
| Violetta Potapova | Conservative | 6,781 | 12.7 | Marketing Manager |
| Ghada Chaabi | NDP | 2,279 | 4.3 | Daycare Operator |
| Olivier Huard | Green | 977 | 1.8 | Arborist |
| Geneviève Royer | Other | 181 | 0.3 | Special Education Teacher |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Francophone 87.3%
- Anglophone 3.9%
- Non-francophone (other) 8.8%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46