Riding profile

Brossard--Saint-Lambert

Federal riding — QC · Mixed · fed qc

The question

Brossard--Saint-Lambert: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?

Current forecast

Liberal

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
42.2
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Liberal 64.1%
  • Conservative 21.9%
  • Bloc 13.2%
  • NDP 3.3%
  • Green 2.2%
  • PPC 0.9%

Watch list

The tightest races

Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.

  1. North Island--Powell RiverConservative45 %1.2 pt margin
  2. Central NewfoundlandConservative57 %1.4 pt margin
  3. Richmond Hill SouthLiberal55 %1.4 pt margin

In context

How this riding stacks up

Liberal Conservative Bloc NDP
HereBrossard--Saint-Lambert 64.1%21.9%13.2%3.3%
Provincial averageQuebec 45.4% +18.8 24.8% −2.9 27.3% −14.1 5.1% −1.7
National averageCanada 48.0% +16.1 32.1% −10.2 5.7% +7.5 10.6% −7.3

Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Editorial read

Brossard--Saint-Lambert, a mixed riding in Quebec, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 43-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 64% vote share, against 22% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible. Linguistic profile: 54% francophone, 19% anglophone.

Sitting member

Alexandra Mendès

Sits with Liberal

Since
2025-04-28
Parliament
45th

Previous election · 2025

Won by
Liberal
Margin
42.9 pts
Turnout
68.2%
Margin shift vs current projection
-0.6 pts

Detailed result · FED 2025

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Alexandra Mendès Elected Liberal 36,541 62.2 Parliamentarian
William Huynh-Jan Conservative 11,076 18.9 Operations Manager
Soledad Orihuela-Bouchard Bloc 7,837 13.3 Teacher
Zeinab Mistou Akkaoui NDP 2,049 3.5 Volunteer
Gregory De Luca Green 855 1.5 Director of Continuing Education
Hector Huerta PPC 381 0.6 Healthcare Administration Technician

Demographics

Who lives here

Linguistic profile

  • Francophone 54.1%
  • Anglophone 19.1%
  • Non-francophone (other) 26.8%

Data source : Statistics Canada — 2021 Census

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
fed_46