Riding profile
Côte-Nord--Kawawachikamach--Nitassinan
The question
Côte-Nord--Kawawachikamach--Nitassinan: a safe seat for the Bloc Québécois?
Current forecast
Bloc
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 13.3
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Bloc | Liberal | Conservative | NDP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereCôte-Nord--Kawawachikamach--Nitassinan | 43.0% | 29.6% | 27.6% | 4.2% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 27.3% +15.8 | 45.4% −15.8 | 24.8% +2.8 | 5.1% −0.9 |
| National averageCanada | 5.7% +37.3 | 48.0% −18.4 | 32.1% −4.5 | 10.6% −6.4 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Côte-Nord--Kawawachikamach--Nitassinan, a mixed riding in Quebec, elected a member with the Bloc Québécois in the previous cycle, with a 16-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Bloc Québécois ahead at 43% vote share, against 30% for the Liberal Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible. Linguistic profile: 88% francophone, 5% anglophone.
Sitting member
Marilène Gill
Sits with Bloc
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marilène Gill Elected | Bloc | 16,243 | 43.7 | Teacher |
| Kevin Coutu | Liberal | 10,185 | 27.4 | Lawyer |
| Mélanie Dorion | Conservative | 9,365 | 25.2 | Entrepreneur |
| Marika Lalime | NDP | 640 | 1.7 | Law Student |
| Sébastien Beaulieu | Other | 557 | 1.5 | Marketing Agent |
| Gilles Babin | Independent | 193 | 0.5 | Self-Employed |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Francophone 88.4%
- Anglophone 4.7%
- Non-francophone (other) 6.9%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
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