Riding profile
Rimouski--La Matapédia
The question
Rimouski--La Matapédia: a safe seat for the Bloc Québécois?
Editorial read
Rimouski--La Matapédia, a mixed riding in Quebec, elected a member with the Bloc Québécois in the previous cycle, with a 10-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Bloc Québécois ahead at 46% vote share, against 33% for the Liberal Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible. Linguistic profile: 99% francophone, 1% anglophone.
Sitting member
Maxime Blanchette-Joncas
Sits with Bloc
Current forecast
Bloc
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 12.8
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Bloc | Liberal | Conservative | NDP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereRimouski--La Matapédia | 46.0% | 33.2% | 17.0% | 6.2% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 27.3% +18.7 | 40.7% −7.5 | 26.9% −9.9 | 7.0% −0.8 |
| National averageCanada | 6.1% +39.9 | 41.9% −8.7 | 34.8% −17.8 | 14.2% −8.0 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · FED 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxime Blanchette-Joncas Elected | Bloc | 24,947 | 46.2 | Parliamentarian |
| Alexander Reford | Liberal | 19,201 | 35.5 | Director |
| Nancy Joannette | Conservative | 7,324 | 13.6 | Entrepreneur |
| Salomé Salvain | NDP | 974 | 1.8 | Speech Therapist |
| Noémi Bureau-Civil | Independent | 620 | 1.1 | Coordinator |
| Taraneh Javanbakht | PPC | 338 | 0.6 | Researcher |
| Lysane Picker-Paquin | Other | 295 | 0.5 | Artist |
| Raphaël Arsenault | Independent | 242 | 0.4 | Library Clerk |
| Tommy Lefebvre | Independent | 99 | 0.2 | Built Heritage Advisor |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Francophone 99.2%
- Anglophone 0.5%
- Non-francophone (other) 0.3%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46