Riding profile
Pontiac--Kitigan Zibi
The question
Pontiac--Kitigan Zibi: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?
Current forecast
Liberal
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 26.1
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | Conservative | Bloc | NDP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HerePontiac--Kitigan Zibi | 56.6% | 30.6% | 10.2% | 3.7% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 45.4% +11.3 | 24.8% +5.8 | 27.3% −17.1 | 5.1% −1.4 |
| National averageCanada | 48.0% +8.6 | 32.1% −1.5 | 5.7% +4.5 | 10.6% −6.9 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Pontiac--Kitigan Zibi, a suburban riding in Quebec, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 27-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 57% vote share, against 31% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible. Linguistic profile: 63% francophone, 32% anglophone.
Sitting member
Sophie Chatel
Sits with Liberal
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Chatel Elected | Liberal | 32,088 | 54.6 | Parliamentarian |
| Brian Nolan | Conservative | 16,221 | 27.6 | Senior Project Officer |
| Suzanne Proulx | Bloc | 6,071 | 10.3 | Manager |
| Gilbert W. Whiteduck | NDP | 2,971 | 5.1 | Mental Health and Addictions Counsellor |
| Claude Bertrand | Green | 749 | 1.3 | Retired |
| Todd Hoffman | PPC | 673 | 1.1 | Brewer |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Francophone 63.2%
- Anglophone 32.3%
- Non-francophone (other) 4.5%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46