Riding profile
Kanata
The question
Kanata: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?
Current forecast
Liberal
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 33.3
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereKanata | 60.8% | 27.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 49.1% +11.7 | 35.3% −7.8 | 4.8% −0.9 | 2.0% |
| National averageCanada | 48.0% +12.8 | 32.1% −4.7 | 10.6% −6.8 | 2.7% −0.8 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Kanata, an urban riding in Ontario, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 25-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 61% vote share, against 27% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible. Linguistic profile: 3% francophone, 82% anglophone.
Sitting member
Jenna Sudds
Sits with Liberal
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jenna Sudds Elected | Liberal | 45,244 | 60.8 | Parliamentarian |
| Greg Kung | Conservative | 26,557 | 35.7 | Paramedic |
| Melissa Simon | NDP | 1,702 | 2.3 | Small Business Owner |
| Jennifer Purdy | Green | 835 | 1.1 | Family Physician |
| Moinuddin Siddiqui | Other | 122 | 0.2 | Transit Dispatcher |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Francophone 3.0%
- Anglophone 81.5%
- Non-francophone (other) 15.5%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46