Riding profile
Kanata
The question
Kanata: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?
Editorial read
Kanata, an urban riding in Ontario, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 25-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 57% vote share, against 29% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible. Linguistic profile: 3% francophone, 82% anglophone.
Sitting member
Jenna Sudds
Sits with Liberal
Current forecast
Liberal
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 28.1
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereKanata | 57.5% | 29.4% | 5.9% | 1.6% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 45.6% +11.8 | 37.5% −8.1 | 6.4% −0.5 | 1.6% |
| National averageCanada | 41.9% +15.6 | 34.8% −5.4 | 14.2% −8.3 | 2.1% −0.5 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · FED 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jenna Sudds Elected | Liberal | 45,244 | 60.8 | Parliamentarian |
| Greg Kung | Conservative | 26,557 | 35.7 | Paramedic |
| Melissa Simon | NDP | 1,702 | 2.3 | Small Business Owner |
| Jennifer Purdy | Green | 835 | 1.1 | Family Physician |
| Moinuddin Siddiqui | Other | 122 | 0.2 | Transit Dispatcher |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Francophone 3.0%
- Anglophone 81.5%
- Non-francophone (other) 15.5%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46