Shefford
Federal riding · Quebec
Forecast of November 2, 2026
Our forecast gives the Bloc Québécois a 60% chance of winning, with an average lead of 2.4 points.
Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 91%.
Compared with the average
| Bloc | Liberal | Conservative | NDP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shefford | 39.8% | 39.1% | 17.9% | 5.1% |
| Provincial averageQuebec | 27.3%+12.5 | 43.3%−4.2 | 24.1%−6.3 | 5.4%−0.3 |
| National averageCanada | 6.1%+33.7 | 46.8%−7.8 | 30.4%−12.5 | 11.2%−6.1 |
Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Language spoken most often at home |
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Current member
Andréanne Larouche · Bloc
Previous election (2025)
The Bloc Québécois won by 0.8 points, with 70.3% turnout.
Our current projection: the Bloc Québécois ahead by 2.4 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andréanne Larouche Elected | Bloc | 26,726 | 39.4 | Parliamentarian |
| Felix Dionne | Liberal | 26,155 | 38.6 | Businessman |
| James Seale | Conservative | 11,404 | 16.8 | Accountant |
| Patrick Jasmin | NDP | 1,557 | 2.3 | Communications Advisor |
| Susanne Lefebvre | PPC | 789 | 1.2 | Organic Food Business |
| Other candidates | 1,150 | 1.7 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Brome—Missisquoi Liberal, safe seat
- Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton Bloc, safe seat
- Beloeil—Chambly Bloc, safe seat
- Drummond Bloc, safe seat
- Saint-Jean Bloc, safe seat
- Mont-Saint-Bruno—L'Acadie Liberal, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated