Riding profile

Sherbrooke

Federal riding — QC · Mixed · fed qc

The question

Sherbrooke: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?

Editorial read

Sherbrooke, a mixed riding in Quebec, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 24-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 49% vote share, against 26% for the Bloc Québécois, and the probability of a close race is negligible. Linguistic profile: 91% francophone, 3% anglophone.

Sitting member

Élisabeth Brière

Sits with Liberal

Since
2025-04-28
Parliament
45th

Current forecast

Liberal

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
22.5
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Liberal 48.7%
  • Bloc 26.3%
  • Conservative 17.4%
  • NDP 5.8%
  • Green 2.8%
  • PPC 1.1%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Liberal Bloc Conservative NDP
HereSherbrooke 48.7%26.3%17.4%5.8%
Provincial averageQuebec 40.7% +8.0 27.3% −1.0 26.9% −9.5 7.0% −1.2
National averageCanada 41.9% +6.8 6.1% +20.2 34.8% −17.4 14.2% −8.4

Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · FED 2025

Won by
Liberal
Margin
24.3 pts
Turnout
67.7%
Margin shift vs current projection
-1.9 pts

Detailed result · FED 2025

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Élisabeth Brière Elected Liberal 31,249 51.3 Parliamentarian
Pierre-Étienne Rouillard Bloc 16,224 26.6 Comedian
Esteban Méndez-Hord Conservative 7,983 13.1 Customer Service Advisor
Jean-Pierre Fortier NDP 3,516 5.8 Engineer
Kevin McKenna Green 1,383 2.3 Retired
Alexandre Lépine PPC 576 0.9 Plant Manager

Demographics

Who lives here

Linguistic profile

  • Francophone 91.3%
  • Anglophone 3.1%
  • Non-francophone (other) 5.6%

Data source : Statistics Canada — 2021 Census

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
fed_46