Riding profile

Brampton Centre

Federal riding — ON · Suburban · toronto suburbs peel halton

The question

Brampton Centre: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Brampton Centre, a suburban riding in Ontario, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 1-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 45% vote share, against 41% for the Conservative Party, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Amandeep Sodhi

Sits with Liberal

Since
2025-04-28
Parliament
45th

Current forecast

Liberal

Toss-up

Probability
99%
Mean margin (pts)
3.8
P(close race)
75%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Liberal 44.6%
  • Conservative 40.8%
  • NDP 5.1%
  • Green 1.6%
  • PPC 1.1%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Liberal Conservative NDP Green
HereBrampton Centre 44.6%40.8%5.1%1.6%
Provincial averageOntario 45.6% −1.0 37.5% +3.4 6.4% −1.3 1.6%
National averageCanada 41.9% +2.7 34.8% +6.0 14.2% −9.1 2.1% −0.5

Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · FED 2025

Won by
Liberal
Margin
1.5 pts
Turnout
61.3%
Margin shift vs current projection
+2.3 pts

Detailed result · FED 2025

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Amandeep Sodhi Elected Liberal 19,716 48.4 Legal Assistant
Taran Chahal Conservative 19,105 46.9 Manager, City of Brampton
Anil Boodhai NDP 1,085 2.7 LINC
Ray Shaver Green 469 1.2 Retired
Harsimran Kaur Hundal PPC 288 0.7 Director
Taha Nazir Other 97 0.2 Microbiologist

Demographics

Who lives here

Linguistic profile

  • Anglophone 74.3%
  • Non-francophone (other) 25.7%

Data source : Statistics Canada — 2021 Census

Last model run
Cycle
fed_46