Riding profile

Brampton Centre

Federal riding — ON · Suburban · toronto suburbs peel halton

The question

Brampton Centre: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?

Current forecast

Liberal

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
9.4
P(close race)
1%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Liberal 48.1%
  • Conservative 38.7%
  • NDP 3.3%
  • Green 2.0%
  • PPC 1.1%

Watch list

The tightest races

Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.

  1. North Island--Powell RiverConservative45 %1.2 pt margin
  2. Central NewfoundlandConservative57 %1.4 pt margin
  3. Richmond Hill SouthLiberal55 %1.4 pt margin

In context

How this riding stacks up

Liberal Conservative NDP Green
HereBrampton Centre 48.1%38.7%3.3%2.0%
Provincial averageOntario 49.1% −1.0 35.3% +3.4 4.8% −1.4 2.0%
National averageCanada 48.0% +0.1 32.1% +6.6 10.6% −7.3 2.7% −0.7

Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Editorial read

Brampton Centre, a suburban riding in Ontario, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 1-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 48% vote share, against 39% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Amandeep Sodhi

Sits with Liberal

Since
2025-04-28
Parliament
45th

Previous election · 2025

Won by
Liberal
Margin
1.5 pts
Turnout
61.3%
Margin shift vs current projection
+7.9 pts

Detailed result · FED 2025

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Amandeep Sodhi Elected Liberal 19,716 48.4 Legal Assistant
Taran Chahal Conservative 19,105 46.9 Manager, City of Brampton
Anil Boodhai NDP 1,085 2.7 LINC
Ray Shaver Green 469 1.2 Retired
Harsimran Kaur Hundal PPC 288 0.7 Director
Taha Nazir Other 97 0.2 Microbiologist

Demographics

Who lives here

Linguistic profile

  • Anglophone 74.3%
  • Non-francophone (other) 25.7%

Data source : Statistics Canada — 2021 Census

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
fed_46