Riding profile
Brampton--Chinguacousy Park
The question
Brampton--Chinguacousy Park: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?
Current forecast
Liberal
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 12.3
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | PPC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereBrampton--Chinguacousy Park | 48.5% | 36.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 49.1% −0.6 | 35.3% +0.9 | 4.8% −1.4 | 1.1% +0.9 |
| National averageCanada | 48.0% +0.5 | 32.1% +4.1 | 10.6% −7.3 | 1.0% +1.0 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Brampton--Chinguacousy Park, a suburban riding in Ontario, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 4-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 48% vote share, against 36% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Shafqat Ali
Sits with Liberal
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shafqat Ali Elected | Liberal | 21,532 | 48.8 | Parliamentarian |
| Tim Iqbal | Conservative | 19,591 | 44.4 | Analytics and Performance Improvement |
| Teresa Yeh | NDP | 1,173 | 2.7 | Teacher |
| Jayesh Brahmbhatt | PPC | 741 | 1.7 | Real Estate Salesperson |
| Mike Dancy | Green | 521 | 1.2 | Video Editor |
| Avi Dhaliwal | Independent | 328 | 0.7 | Executive Officer |
| Hafiz Muneeb Ahmad | Other | 194 | 0.4 | Civil Engineer |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Anglophone 68.4%
- Non-francophone (other) 31.6%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46