Brampton North—Caledon

Federal riding · Ontario · Peel and Halton

Forecast of November 2, 2026

Our forecast gives the Liberal Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 9.6 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

Thin vertical mark: 2025 result.

	Liberal	Conservative	NDP	PPC
Brampton North—Caledon	48.0%	38.4%	3.5%	2.9%
Provincial averageOntario	48.3%−0.4	34.5%+4.0	5.0%−1.6	2.3%+0.6
National averageCanada	46.8%+1.2	30.4%+8.0	11.2%−7.7	2.7%+0.2

Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.

Projection track

Language spoken most often at home	English 63.4% Other languages (French included) 36.6%

Source: Statistics Canada, 2021 Census (single responses)

Ruby Sahota · Liberal

In office since April 28, 2025. 45th Parliament.

The Liberal Party won by 1.6 points, with 67.2% turnout.

Our current projection: the Liberal Party ahead by 9.6 points.

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	Occupation
Ruby Sahota Elected	Liberal	22,847	48.6	Lawyer
Amandeep Judge	Conservative	22,105	47.0	Realtor
Ruby Zaman	NDP	1,008	2.1	Truck Operator
Sat Anand	PPC	635	1.3	Quality Manager
Other candidates		444	0.9

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Watch list

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.