Riding profile
Brampton North--Caledon
The question
Brampton North--Caledon: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?
Current forecast
Liberal
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 9.5
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | PPC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereBrampton North--Caledon | 48.7% | 39.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 49.1% −0.4 | 35.3% +3.9 | 4.8% −1.6 | 1.1% +0.6 |
| National averageCanada | 48.0% +0.7 | 32.1% +7.1 | 10.6% −7.4 | 1.0% +0.7 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Brampton North--Caledon, a suburban riding in Ontario, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 2-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 49% vote share, against 39% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Ruby Sahota
Sits with Liberal
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ruby Sahota Elected | Liberal | 22,847 | 49.0 | Lawyer |
| Amandeep Judge | Conservative | 22,105 | 47.4 | Realtor |
| Ruby Zaman | NDP | 1,008 | 2.2 | Truck Operator |
| Sat Anand | PPC | 635 | 1.4 | Quality Manager |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Anglophone 63.4%
- Non-francophone (other) 36.6%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46