Riding profile

Brampton North--Caledon

Federal riding — ON · Suburban · toronto suburbs peel halton

The question

Brampton North--Caledon: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Brampton North--Caledon, a suburban riding in Ontario, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 2-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 45% vote share, against 41% for the Conservative Party, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Ruby Sahota

Sits with Liberal

Since
2025-04-28
Parliament
45th

Current forecast

Liberal

Toss-up

Probability
99%
Mean margin (pts)
3.9
P(close race)
73%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Liberal 45.2%
  • Conservative 41.3%
  • NDP 5.0%
  • PPC 1.7%
  • Green 0.5%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Liberal Conservative NDP PPC
HereBrampton North--Caledon 45.2%41.3%5.0%1.7%
Provincial averageOntario 45.6% −0.4 37.5% +3.9 6.4% −1.4 1.1% +0.6
National averageCanada 41.9% +3.3 34.8% +6.5 14.2% −9.2 1.0% +0.7

Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · FED 2025

Won by
Liberal
Margin
1.6 pts
Turnout
67.2%
Margin shift vs current projection
+2.4 pts

Detailed result · FED 2025

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Ruby Sahota Elected Liberal 22,847 49.0 Lawyer
Amandeep Judge Conservative 22,105 47.4 Realtor
Ruby Zaman NDP 1,008 2.2 Truck Operator
Sat Anand PPC 635 1.4 Quality Manager

Demographics

Who lives here

Linguistic profile

  • Anglophone 63.4%
  • Non-francophone (other) 36.6%

Data source : Statistics Canada — 2021 Census

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
fed_46