Brampton West
Federal riding · Ontario · Peel and Halton
Forecast of November 2, 2026
Our forecast gives the Liberal Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 5.8 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 30%.
Compared with the average
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | PPC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brampton West | 46.5% | 40.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 48.3%−1.8 | 34.5%+6.3 | 5.0%−1.6 | 2.3%−0.6 |
| National averageCanada | 46.8%−0.3 | 30.4%+10.3 | 11.2%−7.7 | 2.7%−1.0 |
Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Language spoken most often at home |
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Current member
Amarjeet Gill · Conservative
Previous election (2025)
The Conservative Party won by 2.1 points, with 64.2% turnout.
Our current projection: the Liberal Party ahead by 5.8 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amarjeet Gill Elected | Conservative | 21,112 | 49.3 | Real Estate Appraisal Professional |
| Kamal Khera | Liberal | 20,194 | 47.1 | Parliamentarian |
| Zaigham Javed | NDP | 708 | 1.7 | Small Business Owner |
| Sameera Khan | Green | 278 | 0.6 | Student Recruitment Officer |
| Khawaja Amir Hassan | Other | 95 | 0.2 | Accountant |
| Other candidates | 445 | 1.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Brampton Centre Liberal, safe seat
- Brampton South Liberal, safe seat
- Brampton North—Caledon Liberal, safe seat
- Brampton—Chinguacousy Park Liberal, safe seat
- Mississauga—Streetsville Liberal, safe seat
- Brampton East Liberal, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated