Riding profile
Mississauga--Streetsville
The question
Mississauga--Streetsville: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?
Current forecast
Liberal
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 14.6
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereMississauga--Streetsville | 51.4% | 36.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 49.1% +2.3 | 35.3% +1.6 | 4.8% −1.5 | 2.0% −0.4 |
| National averageCanada | 48.0% +3.4 | 32.1% +4.8 | 10.6% −7.4 | 2.7% −1.1 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Mississauga--Streetsville, a suburban riding in Ontario, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 7-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 51% vote share, against 37% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Rechie Valdez
Sits with Liberal
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rechie Valdez Elected | Liberal | 31,297 | 51.5 | Parliamentarian |
| Sue McFadden | Conservative | 27,241 | 44.9 | City Councillor |
| Bushra Asghar | NDP | 1,388 | 2.3 | Climate Campaigner |
| Chris Hill | Green | 439 | 0.7 | Retired |
| Logan Araujo | PPC | 366 | 0.6 | Business Analyst |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Anglophone 75.2%
- Non-francophone (other) 24.8%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46