Riding profile

Mississauga East--Cooksville

Federal riding — ON · Suburban · toronto suburbs peel halton

The question

Mississauga East--Cooksville: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?

Editorial read

Mississauga East--Cooksville, a suburban riding in Ontario, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 6-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 46% vote share, against 38% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Peter Fonseca

Sits with Liberal

Since
2025-04-28
Parliament
45th

Current forecast

Liberal

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
7.9
P(close race)
5%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Liberal 46.3%
  • Conservative 38.4%
  • NDP 5.2%
  • PPC 2.1%
  • Green 0.5%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Liberal Conservative NDP PPC
HereMississauga East--Cooksville 46.3%38.4%5.2%2.1%
Provincial averageOntario 45.6% +0.6 37.5% +1.0 6.4% −1.2 1.1% +1.1
National averageCanada 41.9% +4.4 34.8% +3.6 14.2% −9.0 1.0% +1.1

Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · FED 2025

Won by
Liberal
Margin
5.5 pts
Turnout
63.4%
Margin shift vs current projection
+2.3 pts

Detailed result · FED 2025

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Peter Fonseca Elected Liberal 27,138 50.2 Parliamentarian
Nita Kang Conservative 24,112 44.6 Realtor
Khawar Hussain NDP 1,508 2.8 Public Health Inspector
Amit Gupta PPC 964 1.8 IT Consultant
Winston Harding Independent 221 0.4 Writer
Dagmar Sullivan Other 113 0.2 Retired Factory Worker

Demographics

Who lives here

Linguistic profile

  • Anglophone 63.8%
  • Non-francophone (other) 36.2%

Data source : Statistics Canada — 2021 Census

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
fed_46