Riding profile
Mississauga East--Cooksville
The question
Mississauga East--Cooksville: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?
Current forecast
Liberal
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 13.5
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | PPC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereMississauga East--Cooksville | 49.8% | 36.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 49.1% +0.7 | 35.3% +1.1 | 4.8% −1.4 | 1.1% +1.0 |
| National averageCanada | 48.0% +1.8 | 32.1% +4.2 | 10.6% −7.2 | 1.0% +1.1 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Mississauga East--Cooksville, a suburban riding in Ontario, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 6-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 50% vote share, against 36% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Peter Fonseca
Sits with Liberal
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Fonseca Elected | Liberal | 27,138 | 50.2 | Parliamentarian |
| Nita Kang | Conservative | 24,112 | 44.6 | Realtor |
| Khawar Hussain | NDP | 1,508 | 2.8 | Public Health Inspector |
| Amit Gupta | PPC | 964 | 1.8 | IT Consultant |
| Winston Harding | Independent | 221 | 0.4 | Writer |
| Dagmar Sullivan | Other | 113 | 0.2 | Retired Factory Worker |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Anglophone 63.8%
- Non-francophone (other) 36.2%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46