Riding profile
Brampton South
The question
Brampton South: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?
Current forecast
Liberal
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 9.7
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | PPC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereBrampton South | 49.0% | 39.3% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 49.1% −0.1 | 35.3% +4.0 | 4.8% −1.6 | 1.1% +0.1 |
| National averageCanada | 48.0% +1.0 | 32.1% +7.2 | 10.6% −7.4 | 1.0% +0.2 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Brampton South, a suburban riding in Ontario, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 2-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 49% vote share, against 39% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Sonia Sidhu
Sits with Liberal
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonia Sidhu Elected | Liberal | 22,001 | 49.3 | Parliamentarian |
| Sukhdeep Kang | Conservative | 21,193 | 47.5 | Business Owner |
| Rajni Sharma | NDP | 777 | 1.7 | Social Service Worker |
| Vijay Kumar | PPC | 358 | 0.8 | Independent Owner |
| Manmohan Khroud | Independent | 274 | 0.6 | Realtor |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Anglophone 54.4%
- Non-francophone (other) 45.6%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46