Riding profile

Brampton East

Federal riding — ON · Suburban · toronto suburbs peel halton

The question

Brampton East: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?

Current forecast

Liberal

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
11.8
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Liberal 48.1%
  • Conservative 36.4%
  • PPC 5.1%
  • NDP 3.2%
  • Green 0.8%

Watch list

The tightest races

Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.

  1. North Island--Powell RiverConservative45 %1.2 pt margin
  2. Central NewfoundlandConservative57 %1.4 pt margin
  3. Richmond Hill SouthLiberal55 %1.4 pt margin

In context

How this riding stacks up

Liberal Conservative PPC NDP
HereBrampton East 48.1%36.4%5.1%3.2%
Provincial averageOntario 49.1% −0.9 35.3% +1.1 1.1% +4.0 4.8% −1.6
National averageCanada 48.0% +0.1 32.1% +4.3 1.0% +4.1 10.6% −7.4

Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Editorial read

Brampton East, a suburban riding in Ontario, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 4-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 48% vote share, against 36% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Maninder Sidhu

Sits with Liberal

Since
2025-04-28
Parliament
45th

Previous election · 2025

Won by
Liberal
Margin
3.8 pts
Turnout
65.4%
Margin shift vs current projection
+7.9 pts

Detailed result · FED 2025

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Maninder Sidhu Elected Liberal 23,616 48.6 Parliamentarian
Bob Dosanjh Singh Conservative 21,731 44.7 Broadcaster
Jeff Lal PPC 2,305 4.7 Self-Employed
Haramrit Singh NDP 821 1.7 Food Scientist
Abdus S Kissana Other 132 0.3 Real Estate Sales and Marketing

Demographics

Who lives here

Linguistic profile

  • Anglophone 49.7%
  • Non-francophone (other) 50.3%

Data source : Statistics Canada — 2021 Census

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
fed_46