Riding profile

Brampton East

Federal riding — ON · Suburban · toronto suburbs peel halton

The question

Brampton East: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?

Editorial read

Brampton East, a suburban riding in Ontario, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 4-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 45% vote share, against 38% for the Conservative Party, and the riding remains competitive.

Sitting member

Maninder Sidhu

Sits with Liberal

Since
2025-04-28
Parliament
45th

Current forecast

Liberal

Competitive

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
6.2
P(close race)
27%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Liberal 44.6%
  • Conservative 38.5%
  • PPC 5.0%
  • NDP 5.0%
  • Green 0.5%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Liberal Conservative PPC NDP
HereBrampton East 44.6%38.5%5.0%5.0%
Provincial averageOntario 45.6% −1.0 37.5% +1.0 1.1% +4.0 6.4% −1.4
National averageCanada 41.9% +2.8 34.8% +3.7 1.0% +4.0 14.2% −9.2

Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · FED 2025

Won by
Liberal
Margin
3.8 pts
Turnout
65.4%
Margin shift vs current projection
+2.3 pts

Detailed result · FED 2025

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Maninder Sidhu Elected Liberal 23,616 48.6 Parliamentarian
Bob Dosanjh Singh Conservative 21,731 44.7 Broadcaster
Jeff Lal PPC 2,305 4.7 Self-Employed
Haramrit Singh NDP 821 1.7 Food Scientist
Abdus S Kissana Other 132 0.3 Real Estate Sales and Marketing

Demographics

Who lives here

Linguistic profile

  • Anglophone 49.7%
  • Non-francophone (other) 50.3%

Data source : Statistics Canada — 2021 Census

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
fed_46