Riding profile
Scarborough Centre--Don Valley East
The question
Scarborough Centre--Don Valley East: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?
Current forecast
Liberal
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 27.4
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | PPC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereScarborough Centre--Don Valley East | 57.1% | 29.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 49.1% +8.0 | 35.3% −5.6 | 4.8% −0.7 | 1.1% +0.6 |
| National averageCanada | 48.0% +9.1 | 32.1% −2.4 | 10.6% −6.5 | 1.0% +0.7 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Scarborough Centre--Don Valley East, an urban riding in Ontario, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 19-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 57% vote share, against 30% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Salma Zahid
Sits with Liberal
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salma Zahid Elected | Liberal | 27,557 | 57.3 | Parliamentarian |
| Belent Mathew | Conservative | 18,307 | 38.1 | Office Manager |
| Alyson Koa | NDP | 1,565 | 3.3 | Communications Specialist |
| Peter Koubakis | PPC | 659 | 1.4 | Meat Cutter |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Anglophone 67.7%
- Non-francophone (other) 32.3%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46