Riding profile
Scarborough--Woburn
The question
Scarborough--Woburn: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?
Current forecast
Liberal
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 34.4
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereScarborough--Woburn | 60.2% | 25.8% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 49.1% +11.1 | 35.3% −9.4 | 4.8% −0.6 | 2.0% |
| National averageCanada | 48.0% +12.2 | 32.1% −6.3 | 10.6% −6.5 | 2.7% −0.7 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Scarborough--Woburn, an urban riding in Ontario, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 26-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 60% vote share, against 26% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Michael Coteau
Sits with Liberal
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Coteau Elected | Liberal | 25,281 | 60.4 | Parliamentarian |
| Reddy Muttukuru | Conservative | 14,291 | 34.1 | Self-Employed |
| George Wedge | NDP | 1,466 | 3.5 | Senior Quality Assurance Technician |
| Gianne Broughton | Green | 499 | 1.2 | Caregiver |
| Amina Bhaiyat | Independent | 181 | 0.4 | Homemaker |
| Ayub Sipra | Other | 150 | 0.4 | Realtor |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Anglophone 62.9%
- Non-francophone (other) 37.1%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46