Riding profile
Scarborough--Woburn
The question
Scarborough--Woburn: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?
Editorial read
Scarborough--Woburn, an urban riding in Ontario, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 26-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 57% vote share, against 28% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Michael Coteau
Sits with Liberal
Current forecast
Liberal
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 29.2
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereScarborough--Woburn | 56.9% | 27.8% | 6.2% | 1.7% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 45.6% +11.3 | 37.5% −9.7 | 6.4% −0.2 | 1.6% |
| National averageCanada | 41.9% +15.0 | 34.8% −7.0 | 14.2% −8.0 | 2.1% −0.4 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · FED 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Coteau Elected | Liberal | 25,281 | 60.4 | Parliamentarian |
| Reddy Muttukuru | Conservative | 14,291 | 34.1 | Self-Employed |
| George Wedge | NDP | 1,466 | 3.5 | Senior Quality Assurance Technician |
| Gianne Broughton | Green | 499 | 1.2 | Caregiver |
| Amina Bhaiyat | Independent | 181 | 0.4 | Homemaker |
| Ayub Sipra | Other | 150 | 0.4 | Realtor |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Anglophone 62.9%
- Non-francophone (other) 37.1%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46