Riding profile
Scarborough--Guildwood--Rouge Park
The question
Scarborough--Guildwood--Rouge Park: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?
Current forecast
Liberal
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 40.5
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereScarborough--Guildwood--Rouge Park | 64.0% | 23.5% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 49.1% +14.9 | 35.3% −11.8 | 4.8% −0.7 | 2.0% |
| National averageCanada | 48.0% +16.0 | 32.1% −8.6 | 10.6% −6.5 | 2.7% −0.7 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Scarborough--Guildwood--Rouge Park, an urban riding in Ontario, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 32-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 64% vote share, against 24% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Gary Anandasangaree
Sits with Liberal
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Anandasangaree Elected | Liberal | 35,295 | 64.0 | Lawyer |
| Suchita Jalan | Conservative | 17,485 | 31.7 | Real Estate Broker |
| Kingsley Kwok | NDP | 1,772 | 3.2 | Registered Respiratory Therapist |
| Troy Rife | Green | 633 | 1.1 | Student |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Anglophone 75.7%
- Non-francophone (other) 24.3%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46