Riding profile
Scarborough--Guildwood--Rouge Park
The question
Scarborough--Guildwood--Rouge Park: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?
Editorial read
Scarborough--Guildwood--Rouge Park, an urban riding in Ontario, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 32-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 61% vote share, against 25% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Gary Anandasangaree
Sits with Liberal
Current forecast
Liberal
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 35.3
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereScarborough--Guildwood--Rouge Park | 60.7% | 25.4% | 6.1% | 1.6% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 45.6% +15.0 | 37.5% −12.0 | 6.4% −0.3 | 1.6% |
| National averageCanada | 41.9% +18.8 | 34.8% −9.4 | 14.2% −8.1 | 2.1% −0.5 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · FED 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Anandasangaree Elected | Liberal | 35,295 | 64.0 | Lawyer |
| Suchita Jalan | Conservative | 17,485 | 31.7 | Real Estate Broker |
| Kingsley Kwok | NDP | 1,772 | 3.2 | Registered Respiratory Therapist |
| Troy Rife | Green | 633 | 1.1 | Student |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Anglophone 75.7%
- Non-francophone (other) 24.3%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46