Riding profile
Toronto--Danforth
The question
Toronto--Danforth: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?
Current forecast
Liberal
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 55.0
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | NDP | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereToronto--Danforth | 66.5% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 1.9% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 49.1% +17.4 | 4.8% +6.1 | 35.3% −24.4 | 2.0% −0.1 |
| National averageCanada | 48.0% +18.5 | 10.6% +0.3 | 32.1% −21.2 | 2.7% −0.8 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Toronto--Danforth, an urban riding in Ontario, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 47-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 67% vote share, against 11% for the NDP, and the probability of a close race is negligible. Linguistic profile: 1% francophone, 84% anglophone.
Sitting member
Julie Dabrusin
Sits with Liberal
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julie Dabrusin Elected | Liberal | 39,191 | 66.6 | Parliamentarian |
| Ashik Hussain | Conservative | 11,187 | 19.0 | Freelancer |
| Clare Hacksel | NDP | 7,626 | 13.0 | Registered Midwife |
| Silvia Stardust | Green | 626 | 1.1 | Entertainer |
| Liz White | Other | 251 | 0.4 | Party Leader |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Francophone 0.9%
- Anglophone 84.1%
- Non-francophone (other) 15.0%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46