Riding profile
Winnipeg North
The question
Winnipeg North: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?
Current forecast
Liberal
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 47.8
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereWinnipeg North | 69.2% | 21.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% |
| Provincial averageManitoba | 49.9% +19.3 | 31.7% −10.3 | 8.5% −6.6 | 1.7% −0.1 |
| National averageCanada | 48.0% +21.2 | 32.1% −10.7 | 10.6% −8.7 | 2.7% −1.1 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Winnipeg North, an urban riding in Manitoba, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 23-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 69% vote share, against 21% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Kevin Lamoureux
Sits with Liberal
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Lamoureux Elected | Liberal | 19,792 | 57.9 | Parliamentarian |
| Rachel Punzalan | Conservative | 11,740 | 34.4 | Lawyer |
| Adebayo Akinrogunde | NDP | 2,059 | 6.0 | Mental Health |
| Jessica Bailon | PPC | 274 | 0.8 | Legal Assistant |
| Angela Brydges | Green | 194 | 0.6 | Caregiver |
| Sarah Borbridge | Other | 114 | 0.3 | Community Mental Health Worker |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Anglophone 64.0%
- Non-francophone (other) 36.0%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46