Riding profile
Winnipeg South Centre
The question
Winnipeg South Centre: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?
Current forecast
Liberal
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 60.1
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereWinnipeg South Centre | 75.0% | 14.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% |
| Provincial averageManitoba | 49.9% +25.1 | 31.7% −16.8 | 8.5% −6.5 | 1.7% +0.1 |
| National averageCanada | 48.0% +27.0 | 32.1% −17.2 | 10.6% −8.6 | 2.7% −0.8 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Winnipeg South Centre, an urban riding in Manitoba, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 36-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 75% vote share, against 15% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Ben Carr
Sits with Liberal
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Carr Elected | Liberal | 33,834 | 63.6 | Parliamentarian |
| Royden Brousseau | Conservative | 14,748 | 27.7 | Financial Professional |
| Jorge Requena Ramos | NDP | 3,463 | 6.5 | Artistic Director |
| Chris Petriew | Green | 450 | 0.8 | Homemaker |
| Cam Scott | Other | 314 | 0.6 | Author |
| Jaclyn Cummings | PPC | 272 | 0.5 | Administrative Assistant |
| Tait Palsson | Independent | 97 | 0.2 | Student |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Anglophone 87.2%
- Non-francophone (other) 12.8%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46