Riding profile

Winnipeg West

Federal riding — MB · Urban · winnipeg

The question

Winnipeg West: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?

Editorial read

Winnipeg West, an urban riding in Manitoba, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 14-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 58% vote share, against 29% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible. Linguistic profile: 0% francophone, 93% anglophone.

Sitting member

Doug Eyolfson

Sits with Liberal

Since
2025-04-28
Parliament
45th

Current forecast

Liberal

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
29.0
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Liberal 58.4%
  • Conservative 29.4%
  • NDP 3.6%
  • Green 1.5%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Liberal Conservative NDP Green
HereWinnipeg West 58.4%29.4%3.6%1.5%
Provincial averageManitoba 43.9% +14.5 33.4% −4.0 10.5% −6.9 1.4% +0.1
National averageCanada 41.9% +16.5 34.8% −5.4 14.2% −10.6 2.1% −0.6

Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · FED 2025

Won by
Liberal
Margin
13.6 pts
Turnout
75.5%
Margin shift vs current projection
+15.4 pts

Detailed result · FED 2025

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Doug Eyolfson Elected Liberal 30,276 54.5 Emergency Medicine Physician
Marty Morantz Conservative 22,659 40.8 Parliamentarian
Avery Selby-Lyons NDP 2,218 4.0 Sales Clerk
Dennis Bayomi Green 438 0.8 Retired

Demographics

Who lives here

Linguistic profile

  • Francophone 0.4%
  • Anglophone 93.4%
  • Non-francophone (other) 6.2%

Data source : Statistics Canada — 2021 Census

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
fed_46