Riding profile
Regina--Lewvan
The question
Regina--Lewvan: will Conservative lose this seat to Liberal?
Editorial read
Regina--Lewvan, an urban riding in Saskatchewan, elected a member with the Conservative Party in the previous cycle, with a 7-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 47% vote share, against 40% for the Conservative Party, and the riding remains competitive.
Sitting member
Warren Steinley
Sits with Conservative
Current forecast
Liberal
Competitive
- Probability
- 99%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 7.0
- P(close race)
- 25%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereRegina--Lewvan | 46.6% | 39.7% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Provincial averageSaskatchewan | 30.6% +16.1 | 50.9% −11.2 | 4.4% −0.7 | 1.2% +0.1 |
| National averageCanada | 41.9% +4.8 | 34.8% +4.9 | 14.2% −10.5 | 2.1% −0.8 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · FED 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warren Steinley Elected | Conservative | 21,988 | 50.0 | Parliamentarian |
| Mac Hird | Liberal | 18,893 | 43.0 | Business Development |
| Ray Aldinger | NDP | 2,573 | 5.9 | Youth Correctional Officer |
| Michael Wright | Green | 272 | 0.6 | Teacher |
| Godwin Ezizor | PPC | 243 | 0.6 | Pastor |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Anglophone 88.2%
- Non-francophone (other) 11.8%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46