Riding profile
Regina--Qu'Appelle
The question
Regina--Qu'Appelle: a safe seat for the Conservative Party?
Current forecast
Conservative
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 13.8
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Conservative | Liberal | NDP | PPC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereRegina--Qu'Appelle | 51.9% | 38.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% |
| Provincial averageSaskatchewan | 49.1% +2.8 | 35.5% +2.7 | 2.6% −0.6 | 1.1% +0.5 |
| National averageCanada | 32.1% +19.8 | 48.0% −9.8 | 10.6% −8.6 | 1.0% +0.5 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Regina--Qu'Appelle, an urban riding in Saskatchewan, elected a member with the Conservative Party in the previous cycle, with a 37-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservative Party ahead at 52% vote share, against 38% for the Liberal Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Andrew Scheer
Sits with Conservative
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Scheer Elected | Conservative | 27,024 | 64.0 | Parliamentarian |
| Rahima Mian | Liberal | 11,391 | 27.0 | Political Staffer |
| Chris Simmie | NDP | 3,388 | 8.0 | Freelancer |
| Dionne Fehler | PPC | 441 | 1.0 | Architectural Technologist |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Anglophone 93.2%
- Non-francophone (other) 6.8%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46