Riding profile

Regina--Qu'Appelle

Federal riding — SK · Urban · sk urban

The question

Regina--Qu'Appelle: a safe seat for the Conservative Party?

Editorial read

Regina--Qu'Appelle, an urban riding in Saskatchewan, elected a member with the Conservative Party in the previous cycle, with a 37-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservative Party ahead at 54% vote share, against 31% for the Liberal Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Andrew Scheer

Sits with Conservative

Since
2025-04-28
Parliament
45th

Current forecast

Conservative

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
22.8
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Conservative 53.5%
  • Liberal 30.7%
  • NDP 4.3%
  • PPC 1.5%
  • Green 0.7%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Conservative Liberal NDP PPC
HereRegina--Qu'Appelle 53.5%30.7%4.3%1.5%
Provincial averageSaskatchewan 50.9% +2.6 30.6% +0.1 4.4% −0.1 0.9% +0.5
National averageCanada 34.8% +18.7 41.9% −11.2 14.2% −9.9 1.0% +0.5

Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · FED 2025

Won by
Conservative
Margin
36.7 pts
Turnout
65.2%
Margin shift vs current projection
-13.9 pts

Detailed result · FED 2025

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Andrew Scheer Elected Conservative 27,024 64.0 Parliamentarian
Rahima Mian Liberal 11,391 27.0 Political Staffer
Chris Simmie NDP 3,388 8.0 Freelancer
Dionne Fehler PPC 441 1.0 Architectural Technologist

Demographics

Who lives here

Linguistic profile

  • Anglophone 93.2%
  • Non-francophone (other) 6.8%

Data source : Statistics Canada — 2021 Census

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
fed_46