Riding profile

Regina--Wascana

Federal riding — SK · Urban · sk urban

The question

Regina--Wascana: will Conservative lose this seat to Liberal?

Editorial read

Regina--Wascana, an urban riding in Saskatchewan, elected a member with the Conservative Party in the previous cycle, with a 6-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 47% vote share, against 40% for the Conservative Party, and the riding remains competitive.

Sitting member

Michael Kram

Sits with Conservative

Since
2025-04-28
Parliament
45th

Current forecast

Liberal

Competitive

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
7.6
P(close race)
19%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Liberal 47.4%
  • Conservative 39.8%
  • NDP 3.5%
  • Green 1.4%
  • PPC 1.1%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Liberal Conservative NDP Green
HereRegina--Wascana 47.4%39.8%3.5%1.4%
Provincial averageSaskatchewan 30.6% +16.8 50.9% −11.2 4.4% −0.9 1.2% +0.2
National averageCanada 41.9% +5.5 34.8% +5.0 14.2% −10.7 2.1% −0.7

Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · FED 2025

Won by
Conservative
Margin
6.4 pts
Turnout
69.9%
Margin shift vs current projection
+1.2 pts

Detailed result · FED 2025

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Michael Kram Elected Conservative 22,072 50.1 Parliamentarian
Jeffrey Walters Liberal 19,252 43.7 Sessional Lecturer, University of Regina
Kaitlyn Stadnyk NDP 2,138 4.9 Carpenter
Peter Bruce PPC 326 0.7 Retired
Kimberly Epp Green 289 0.7 Unemployed

Demographics

Who lives here

Linguistic profile

  • Anglophone 85.3%
  • Non-francophone (other) 14.7%

Data source : Statistics Canada — 2021 Census

Last model run
Cycle
fed_46