Riding profile
Airdrie--Cochrane
The question
Airdrie--Cochrane: a safe seat for the Conservative Party?
Editorial read
Airdrie--Cochrane, a suburban riding in Alberta, elected a member with the Conservative Party in the previous cycle, with a 47-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservative Party ahead at 53% vote share, against 32% for the Liberal Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible. Linguistic profile: 1% francophone, 93% anglophone.
Sitting member
Blake Richards
Sits with Conservative
Current forecast
Conservative
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 20.9
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Conservative | Liberal | NDP | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereAirdrie--Cochrane | 52.7% | 31.8% | 4.7% | 0.8% |
| Provincial averageAlberta | 44.0% +8.7 | 35.7% −3.9 | 7.2% −2.5 | 1.2% −0.4 |
| National averageCanada | 34.8% +17.9 | 41.9% −10.1 | 14.2% −9.5 | 2.1% −1.3 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · FED 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Richards Elected | Conservative | 50,252 | 71.2 | Parliamentarian |
| Sean Secord | Liberal | 16,714 | 23.7 | VP of Start-up Biotechnology Company |
| Sarah Zagoda | NDP | 2,591 | 3.7 | School Technologist |
| David Sabine | Other | 623 | 0.9 | Management Consultant |
| Christopher Bell | Other | 380 | 0.5 | Engineer |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Francophone 0.8%
- Anglophone 93.4%
- Non-francophone (other) 5.8%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46