Riding profile
Calgary Signal Hill
The question
Calgary Signal Hill: will Conservative lose this seat to Liberal?
Current forecast
Liberal
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 10.1
- P(close race)
- 2%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | PPC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereCalgary Signal Hill | 53.2% | 43.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Provincial averageAlberta | 40.8% +12.4 | 43.8% −0.7 | 5.2% −2.6 | 1.3% −0.2 |
| National averageCanada | 48.0% +5.2 | 32.1% +11.0 | 10.6% −8.0 | 1.0% +0.1 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Calgary Signal Hill, an urban riding in Alberta, elected a member with the Conservative Party in the previous cycle, with a 24-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 53% vote share, against 43% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
David McKenzie
Sits with Conservative
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| David GL McKenzie Elected | Conservative | 41,638 | 60.1 | Lawyer |
| Bryndis Whitson | Liberal | 25,174 | 36.4 | Podcast Host |
| Khalis Ahmed | NDP | 1,656 | 2.4 | Geologist |
| Grant Strem | PPC | 492 | 0.7 | Energy Consultant |
| Paul Godard | Other | 265 | 0.4 | Iron Worker |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Anglophone 84.4%
- Non-francophone (other) 15.6%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46