Riding profile

Calgary Signal Hill

Federal riding — AB · Urban · calgary

The question

Calgary Signal Hill: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Calgary Signal Hill, an urban riding in Alberta, elected a member with the Conservative Party in the previous cycle, with a 24-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 47% vote share, against 43% for the Conservative Party, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

David McKenzie

Sits with Conservative

Since
2025-04-28
Parliament
45th

Current forecast

Liberal

Toss-up

Probability
87%
Mean margin (pts)
3.5
P(close race)
74%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Liberal 46.5%
  • Conservative 43.3%
  • NDP 4.9%
  • PPC 1.1%
  • Green 0.8%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Liberal Conservative NDP PPC
HereCalgary Signal Hill 46.5%43.3%4.9%1.1%
Provincial averageAlberta 35.7% +10.8 44.0% −0.7 7.2% −2.3 1.3% −0.2
National averageCanada 41.9% +4.6 34.8% +8.5 14.2% −9.3 1.0% +0.1

Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · FED 2025

Won by
Conservative
Margin
23.6 pts
Turnout
74.3%
Margin shift vs current projection
-20.1 pts

Detailed result · FED 2025

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
David GL McKenzie Elected Conservative 41,638 60.1 Lawyer
Bryndis Whitson Liberal 25,174 36.4 Podcast Host
Khalis Ahmed NDP 1,656 2.4 Geologist
Grant Strem PPC 492 0.7 Energy Consultant
Paul Godard Other 265 0.4 Iron Worker

Demographics

Who lives here

Linguistic profile

  • Anglophone 84.4%
  • Non-francophone (other) 15.6%

Data source : Statistics Canada — 2021 Census

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
fed_46