Calgary Heritage
Federal riding · Alberta · Calgary
Forecast of November 2, 2026
Our forecast gives the Liberal Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 7.8 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 11%.
Compared with the average
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calgary Heritage | 51.2% | 43.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Provincial averageAlberta | 40.6%+10.6 | 42.6%+0.8 | 5.6%−2.5 | 1.5%+0.3 |
| National averageCanada | 46.8%+4.4 | 30.4%+13.0 | 11.2%−8.1 | 2.7%−0.9 |
Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Language spoken most often at home |
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Current member
Shuvaloy Majumdar · Conservative
Previous election (2025)
The Conservative Party won by 26.7 points, with 73.6% turnout.
Our current projection: the Liberal Party ahead by 7.8 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shuv Majumdar Elected | Conservative | 42,088 | 61.1 | Parliamentarian |
| Scott Arnott | Liberal | 23,673 | 34.4 | Retired Corporate Accountant |
| Becki Zimmerman | NDP | 1,691 | 2.5 | Home Reservation Specialist |
| Ravenmoon Crocker | Green | 493 | 0.7 | Administration |
| Chris Galas | Independent | 280 | 0.4 | Retired Engineer |
| Larry R. Heather | Other | 268 | 0.4 | Retired |
| Other candidates | 368 | 0.5 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Calgary Midnapore Conservative, toss-up
- Calgary Centre Liberal, safe seat
- Calgary East Liberal, competitive
- Calgary Signal Hill Liberal, safe seat
- Calgary Shepard Conservative, toss-up
- Calgary Confederation Liberal, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated