Riding profile
Calgary Confederation
The question
Calgary Confederation: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?
Editorial read
Calgary Confederation, an urban riding in Alberta, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 2-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 58% vote share, against 29% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Corey Hogan
Sits with Liberal
Current forecast
Liberal
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 28.7
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereCalgary Confederation | 58.1% | 29.4% | 5.3% | 1.4% |
| Provincial averageAlberta | 35.7% +22.4 | 44.0% −14.6 | 7.2% −1.9 | 1.2% +0.2 |
| National averageCanada | 41.9% +16.2 | 34.8% −5.4 | 14.2% −8.9 | 2.1% −0.7 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · FED 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Hogan Elected | Liberal | 33,112 | 48.1 | University Executive |
| Jeremy Nixon | Conservative | 31,839 | 46.3 | Stakeholder Relations |
| Keira Gunn | NDP | 2,844 | 4.1 | University Instructor |
| Richard Willott | Green | 400 | 0.6 | Retired |
| Artyom Ovsepyan | PPC | 302 | 0.4 | IT System Administrator |
| Jeffrey Reid Marsh | Other | 198 | 0.3 | Community Volunteer |
| Kevan Hunter | Other | 144 | 0.2 | Teacher |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Anglophone 89.4%
- Non-francophone (other) 10.6%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46