Riding profile

Calgary Skyview

Federal riding — AB · Urban · calgary

The question

Calgary Skyview: will Conservative lose this seat to Liberal?

Current forecast

Liberal

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
16.0
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Liberal 54.4%
  • Conservative 38.3%
  • NDP 2.7%
  • Green 1.1%
  • PPC 0.6%

Watch list

The tightest races

Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.

  1. North Island--Powell RiverConservative45 %1.2 pt margin
  2. Central NewfoundlandConservative57 %1.4 pt margin
  3. Richmond Hill SouthLiberal55 %1.4 pt margin

In context

How this riding stacks up

Liberal Conservative NDP Green
HereCalgary Skyview 54.4%38.3%2.7%1.1%
Provincial averageAlberta 40.8% +13.5 43.8% −5.4 5.2% −2.5 1.5% −0.4
National averageCanada 48.0% +6.4 32.1% +6.2 10.6% −7.9 2.7% −1.6

Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Editorial read

Calgary Skyview, an urban riding in Alberta, elected a member with the Conservative Party in the previous cycle, with a 18-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 54% vote share, against 38% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Amanpreet Gill

Sits with Conservative

Since
2025-04-28
Parliament
45th

Previous election · 2025

Won by
Conservative
Margin
17.8 pts
Turnout
61.5%
Margin shift vs current projection
-1.7 pts

Detailed result · FED 2025

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Amanpreet S. Gill Elected Conservative 27,808 55.4 Small Business Owner
Hafeez Malik Liberal 18,842 37.6 Businessman
Rajesh Angral NDP 1,351 2.7 Self-Employed
Minesh Patel Independent 1,002 2.0 Mechanic
Scott Calverley Independent 620 1.2 General Contractor
Jag Anand Independent 529 1.1 Ophthalmologist

Demographics

Who lives here

Linguistic profile

  • Anglophone 63.0%
  • Non-francophone (other) 37.0%

Data source : Statistics Canada — 2021 Census

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
fed_46