Riding profile

Calgary Skyview

Federal riding — AB · Urban · calgary

The question

Calgary Skyview: will Conservative lose this seat to Liberal?

Editorial read

Calgary Skyview, an urban riding in Alberta, elected a member with the Conservative Party in the previous cycle, with a 18-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 48% vote share, against 39% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Amanpreet Gill

Sits with Conservative

Since
2025-04-28
Parliament
45th

Current forecast

Liberal

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
9.1
P(close race)
8%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Liberal 47.6%
  • Conservative 38.6%
  • NDP 5.0%
  • Green 0.8%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Liberal Conservative NDP Green
HereCalgary Skyview 47.6%38.6%5.0%0.8%
Provincial averageAlberta 35.7% +11.9 44.0% −5.5 7.2% −2.2 1.2% −0.4
National averageCanada 41.9% +5.7 34.8% +3.8 14.2% −9.2 2.1% −1.3

Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · FED 2025

Won by
Conservative
Margin
17.8 pts
Turnout
61.5%
Margin shift vs current projection
-8.7 pts

Detailed result · FED 2025

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Amanpreet S. Gill Elected Conservative 27,808 55.4 Small Business Owner
Hafeez Malik Liberal 18,842 37.6 Businessman
Rajesh Angral NDP 1,351 2.7 Self-Employed
Minesh Patel Independent 1,002 2.0 Mechanic
Scott Calverley Independent 620 1.2 General Contractor
Jag Anand Independent 529 1.1 Ophthalmologist

Demographics

Who lives here

Linguistic profile

  • Anglophone 63.0%
  • Non-francophone (other) 37.0%

Data source : Statistics Canada — 2021 Census

Last model run
Cycle
fed_46