Monday, November 2, 2026
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Calgary Skyview

Federal riding · Alberta · Calgary

Forecast of November 2, 2026

Our forecast gives the Liberal Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 16.8 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Liberal 54.1%
  • Conservative 37.3%
  • NDP 3.1%
  • PPC 1.6%
  • Green 1.1%

Thin vertical mark: 2025 result.

Compared with the average

Liberal Conservative NDP PPC
Calgary Skyview 54.1%37.3%3.1%1.6%
Provincial averageAlberta 40.6%+13.5 42.6%−5.3 5.6%−2.4 2.3%−0.7
National averageCanada 46.8%+7.3 30.4%+6.9 11.2%−8.1 2.7%−1.1

Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Local profile

Language spoken most often at home
  • English 63.0%
  • Other languages (French included) 37.0%

Source: Statistics Canada, 2021 Census (single responses)

Current member

Amanpreet Gill · Conservative

In office since April 28, 2025. 45th Parliament.

Previous election (2025)

The Conservative Party won by 17.8 points, with 61.5% turnout.

Our current projection: the Liberal Party ahead by 16.8 points.

Candidates and votes in 2025

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Amanpreet S. Gill Elected Conservative 27,808 55.1 Small Business Owner
Hafeez Malik Liberal 18,842 37.3 Businessman
Rajesh Angral NDP 1,351 2.7 Self-Employed
Minesh Patel Independent 1,002 2.0 Mechanic
Scott Calverley Independent 620 1.2 General Contractor
Jag Anand Independent 529 1.0 Ophthalmologist
Other candidates 362 0.7

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Watch list

The tightest races

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.

  1. Central NewfoundlandLiberal61%1.1-point gap
  2. Richmond Hill SouthLiberal55%1.3-point gap
  3. Niagara WestConservative61%1.3-point gap
Forecast updated