Riding profile
Calgary McKnight
The question
Calgary McKnight: will Conservative lose this seat to Liberal?
Editorial read
Calgary McKnight, an urban riding in Alberta, elected a member with the Conservative Party in the previous cycle, with a 3-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 56% vote share, against 32% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Dalwinder Gill
Sits with Conservative
Current forecast
Liberal
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 23.8
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereCalgary McKnight | 55.7% | 31.9% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Provincial averageAlberta | 35.7% +19.9 | 44.0% −12.1 | 7.2% −2.2 | 1.2% +0.2 |
| National averageCanada | 41.9% +13.8 | 34.8% −2.9 | 14.2% −9.2 | 2.1% −0.7 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · FED 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalwinder Gill Elected | Conservative | 20,863 | 49.1 | Realtor |
| George Chahal | Liberal | 19,546 | 46.0 | Parliamentarian |
| Arlington Antonio Santiago | NDP | 1,204 | 2.8 | Screening Officer |
| Najeeb Butt | PPC | 323 | 0.8 | Realtor |
| Evelyn Tanaka | Green | 273 | 0.6 | Project Manager |
| Benjamin Cridland | Other | 162 | 0.4 | Warehouse Supervisor |
| Syed Hasnain | Other | 107 | 0.3 | Accountant |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Anglophone 55.7%
- Non-francophone (other) 44.3%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46