Riding profile

Battle River--Crowfoot

Federal riding — AB · Rural · ab rural

The question

Battle River--Crowfoot: a safe seat for the Conservative Party?

Editorial read

Battle River--Crowfoot, a rural riding in Alberta, elected a member with the Conservative Party in the previous cycle, with a 71-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservative Party ahead at 61% vote share, against 16% for the Liberal Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible. Linguistic profile: 0% francophone, 94% anglophone.

Sitting member

Pierre Poilievre

Sits with Conservative

Since
2025-08-18
Parliament
45th

Current forecast

Conservative

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
45.7
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Conservative 61.4%
  • Liberal 15.7%
  • NDP 3.7%
  • PPC 1.9%
  • Green 1.6%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Conservative Liberal NDP PPC
HereBattle River--Crowfoot 61.4%15.7%3.7%1.9%
Provincial averageAlberta 44.0% +17.4 35.7% −20.0 7.2% −3.5 1.3% +0.7
National averageCanada 34.8% +26.6 41.9% −26.2 14.2% −10.5 1.0% +0.9

Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · FED 2025

Won by
Conservative
Margin
70.7 pts
Turnout
74.5%
Margin shift vs current projection
-25.0 pts

Detailed result · FED 2025

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Damien Kurek Elected Conservative 53,684 82.8 Parliamentarian
Brent Sutton Liberal 7,566 11.7 Retired
James MacKay NDP 2,061 3.2 Labourer
Jonathan Bridges PPC 1,022 1.6 Mechanic
Douglas Gook Green 474 0.7 Farmer

Demographics

Who lives here

Linguistic profile

  • Francophone 0.3%
  • Anglophone 94.3%
  • Non-francophone (other) 5.4%

Data source : Statistics Canada — 2021 Census

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
fed_46