Riding profile
Battle River--Crowfoot
The question
Battle River--Crowfoot: a safe seat for the Conservative Party?
Current forecast
Conservative
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 42.8
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Conservative | Liberal | NDP | PPC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereBattle River--Crowfoot | 61.1% | 18.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageAlberta | 43.8% +17.3 | 40.8% −22.4 | 5.2% −3.1 | 1.3% +0.7 |
| National averageCanada | 32.1% +29.0 | 48.0% −29.6 | 10.6% −8.4 | 1.0% +1.0 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Battle River--Crowfoot, a rural riding in Alberta, elected a member with the Conservative Party in the previous cycle, with a 71-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservative Party ahead at 61% vote share, against 18% for the Liberal Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible. Linguistic profile: 0% francophone, 94% anglophone.
Sitting member
Pierre Poilievre
Sits with Conservative
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damien Kurek Elected | Conservative | 53,684 | 82.8 | Parliamentarian |
| Brent Sutton | Liberal | 7,566 | 11.7 | Retired |
| James MacKay | NDP | 2,061 | 3.2 | Labourer |
| Jonathan Bridges | PPC | 1,022 | 1.6 | Mechanic |
| Douglas Gook | Green | 474 | 0.7 | Farmer |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Francophone 0.3%
- Anglophone 94.3%
- Non-francophone (other) 5.4%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46