Riding profile
Victoria
The question
Victoria: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?
Editorial read
Victoria, an urban riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 29-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 54% vote share, against 22% for the NDP, and the probability of a close race is negligible. Linguistic profile: 1% francophone, 93% anglophone.
Sitting member
Will Greaves
Sits with Liberal
Current forecast
Liberal
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 31.8
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | NDP | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereVictoria | 53.8% | 22.0% | 10.7% | 3.1% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 41.9% +11.9 | 10.6% +11.4 | 35.8% −25.2 | 2.6% +0.5 |
| National averageCanada | 41.9% +11.9 | 14.2% +7.8 | 34.8% −24.1 | 2.1% +1.0 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · FED 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Greaves Elected | Liberal | 41,128 | 54.3 | Professor |
| Laurel Collins | NDP | 18,877 | 24.9 | Parliamentarian |
| Angus Ross | Conservative | 12,870 | 17.0 | Stay-at-Home Parent |
| Michael Doherty | Green | 2,350 | 3.1 | Lawyer |
| David Mohr | PPC | 278 | 0.4 | Retired |
| Cody Fraser | Other | 109 | 0.1 | Bar Manager |
| Mary Moreau | Other | 83 | 0.1 | Retired |
| Steve Filipovic | Independent | 73 | 0.1 | Small Business Owner |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Francophone 0.5%
- Anglophone 93.1%
- Non-francophone (other) 6.4%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46