Langford-Highlands

Provincial riding · British Columbia · Vancouver Island & Coast

Election day October 24, 2026 · forecast of October 24, 2026

Our forecast gives the NDP a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 7.3 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 13%.

Live results

Results for Langford-Highlands will appear here when polls close at 8 p.m. Pacific time on Saturday, October 24.

All British Columbia results

Projected vote share

Projection by party

NDP 45.8%
Con 38.5%
GP 14.6%
CentreBC 1.1%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

What Orbit says

Orbit, our experimental model, picks the same favourite as our main forecast: the NDP, with a 68% chance (> 99% according to Harfang des neiges).

Model	Favourite	Chance
Harfang des neiges	NDP	> 99%
Orbit	NDP	68%
50/50 blend	NDP	84%

Figures as of October 23, 2026. The blend averages the two chances; in replays of the 2018 and 2022 Quebec elections, it beat our main forecast on its own.

Every race according to Orbit

Compared with the average

	NDP	Con	GP	CentreBC
Langford-Highlands	45.8%	38.5%	14.6%	1.1%
Provincial averageBritish Columbia	40.3%+5.5	47.0%−8.6	10.3%+4.3	0.7%+0.4

Simple average of the 93 ridings, not weighted by population.

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Current member

Ravi Parmar · NDP

43rd Parliament.

Previous election (2024)

The NDP won by 14.5 points, with 59.1% turnout.

Our current projection: the NDP ahead by 7.3 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate	Party	Votes	%
Ravi Parmar Elected	NDP	—	51.9
Mike Harris	Con	—	37.4
Erin Cassels	GP	—	10.7

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Esquimalt-Colwood NDP, safe seat
Saanich South NDP, safe seat
Victoria-Swan Lake NDP, safe seat
Victoria-Beacon Hill NDP, toss-up
Oak Bay-Gordon Head NDP, safe seat
Saanich North and the Islands GP, safe seat

Watch list

The tightest races

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.

Forecast updated: October 24, 2026