Richmond-Bridgeport
Provincial riding · British Columbia · Metro Vancouver
Election day October 24, 2026 · forecast of October 24, 2026
Our forecast gives the Conservatives a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 33.5 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Results for Richmond-Bridgeport will appear here when polls close at 8 p.m. Pacific time on Saturday, October 24.
All British Columbia resultsWhat Orbit says
Orbit, our experimental model, picks the same favourite as our main forecast: the Con, with a > 99% chance (> 99% according to Harfang des neiges).
| Model | Favourite | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Harfang des neiges | Con | > 99% |
| Orbit | Con | > 99% |
| 50/50 blend | Con | > 99% |
Compared with the average
| Con | NDP | |
|---|---|---|
| Richmond-Bridgeport | 66.8% | 33.2% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 47.0%+19.7 | 40.3%−7.0 |
Simple average of the 93 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Current member
Teresa Wat · Con
Previous election (2024)
The Conservatives won by 23.4 points, with 48.6% turnout.
Our current projection: the Conservatives ahead by 33.5 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Teresa Wat Elected | Con | — | 58.2 |
| Linda Li | NDP | — | 34.8 |
| Glynnis Hoi Sum Chan Charlie Smith | OTH | — | 3.8 |
| Tamás Revóczi | GP | — | 3.2 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Vancouver-Point Grey NDP, safe seat
- Vancouver-Quilchena Con, safe seat
- Richmond-Steveston Con, toss-up
- Vancouver-South Granville NDP, safe seat
- Richmond Centre Con, safe seat
- Vancouver-Langara Con, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated