Riding profile
Brantford--Brant South--Six Nations
The question
Brantford--Brant South--Six Nations: a safe seat for the Conservative Party?
Editorial read
Brantford--Brant South--Six Nations, a mixed riding in Ontario, elected a member with the Conservative Party in the previous cycle, with a 11-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservative Party ahead at 47% vote share, against 37% for the Liberal Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Larry Brock
Sits with Conservative
Current forecast
Conservative
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 9.8
- P(close race)
- 1%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Conservative | Liberal | NDP | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereBrantford--Brant South--Six Nations | 47.3% | 37.5% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 37.5% +9.8 | 45.6% −8.2 | 6.4% −1.5 | 1.6% +0.6 |
| National averageCanada | 34.8% +12.5 | 41.9% −4.4 | 14.2% −9.3 | 2.1% +0.1 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · FED 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larry Brock Elected | Conservative | 34,501 | 52.4 | Lawyer |
| Joy O'Donnell | Liberal | 27,032 | 41.1 | Certified Financial Planner |
| Anne Gajerski-Cauley | NDP | 2,410 | 3.7 | United Church of Canada Minister |
| Karleigh Csordas | Green | 1,110 | 1.7 | Customer Service Manager |
| Nicholas Xenos | PPC | 392 | 0.6 | IT Manager |
| Mike Clancy | Independent | 148 | 0.2 | Citizen Advocate Paralegal |
| Leslie Bory | Independent | 120 | 0.2 | Machinist |
| Clo Marie | Independent | 80 | 0.1 | Student |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Anglophone 93.7%
- Non-francophone (other) 6.3%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46